The tight race between Harris and Trump continues
According to ISNA, as November 5th (November 15th) and the day of the 2024 US presidential election are getting closer, there are more polls and articles daily about the election contests of “Kamala Harris”, the vice president and candidate of the Democratic Party, and “Donald Trump”. The former president of the United States is published.
Based on this, “Hill” publication, citing two polls conducted by itself and “Decision Desk HQ” and “CNN” polling base, from the close competition between the two American presidential candidates in key states, known as “field” states. “Battle” announced.
According to this report published today, the vice president and the former president of the United States are tied in the states of “Georgia”, “Nevada” and “Pennsylvania”, which are all key states. However, Harris' lead in Georgia and Nevada is small and within the margin of error of the CNN poll.
On the other hand, Harris is leading with 50% of the votes and a 6% difference in “Wisconsin” and with 48% of the votes and a 5% difference in the state of “Michigan”. But Trump also defeated his Democratic opponent with a 5% margin and 49% of the votes in “Arizona”.
In 2020, “Joe Biden”, the president of the United States, was in the lead in the 6 mentioned states, and ultimately this issue helped him win over Trump. But as Hill wrote, in the 2024 US presidential election, the two states of Pennsylvania and Georgia will be crucial for each of the candidates. In both states, nearly 15 percent of likely voters told CNN they were likely to change their minds.
On the other hand, after Biden withdrew from the presidential race in July and supported Harris, the vice president has received increasing support. So, according to the poll conducted by Hill and Decision Desk HQ, he is leading at the national level with a margin of 4% and 49.4% of the total votes.
The poll, conducted by Hill and Decision Desk HQ, shows similar results to the CNN poll in the states of Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania. Despite Harris's lead in all three key states, his margin is within the margin of error of the polls, and the vice president's lead cannot be definitively declared.
But, according to the Hill poll and Decision Desk HQ, the Democratic candidate's biggest strength is in the state of Wisconsin. He is leading in this state with a clear margin of 3.4%. In Arizona, both candidates are tied, and in Michigan, Harris leads by a margin of 1.6 percentage points.
The CNN poll, from August 23 to 29 (September 2 to 8), with the participation of 682 voters in Arizona, 617 voters in Georgia, 708 voters in Michigan, 626 voters in Nevada, 789 voters in Pennsylvania, 976 voters held in Wisconsin.
The popularity of Harris among the “Generations”
Trump and Harris
Despite the tight competition between Harris and Trump in key states, according to a recent NBC News poll, the Democratic Party candidate has the support of more than half of Generation Z in America. There is widespread support for Harris among young people and teenagers eligible to vote in America, while according to the same survey, only a third of young people in this country support Trump.
The difference between the two rivals is very wide among young Americans, but according to NBC News, Harris needs more support from young people and people under 30 to defeat Trump. In 2020, Biden had the support of 73% of Generation Z.
In this poll, which was held from August 23 to August 30 (September 2 to 9), more than 60 percent of young American potential voters supported the vice president. One of the main reasons why these people support Harris is his younger age compared to Trump.
However, in such a situation, Trump has repeatedly claimed that he is leading in all or most polls. But his campaign is increasingly arguing that pollsters have gotten Trump wrong in the past and will do it again.
But Harris' growing popularity isn't limited to himself; A Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll found that about 30 percent of voters in key states said Harris' choice of Minnesota Gov. Tim Walls as his running mate made them more likely to vote for him, compared to only 23 percent. The percentage of voters in these states said that the election of Senator J. D. Vance” by Trump as his deputy will make them vote for Trump.
Voters in key US states are more likely to view Walls as mentally fit, honest and compassionate than Vance.
There are only 9 weeks left until the voting day of the US presidential election.
Both US presidential candidates have agreed to debate on ABC News on September 10. This debate, similar to the previous debate between Trump and Biden, will have an impact on the prospect of the US presidential election.
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